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Great Expectations

Posted on Wednesday, May 21, 2008 at 08:34AM by Registered CommenterNathan Greene | CommentsPost a Comment

oliphant-obama-worship435.gifPolitics is a tricky game. No matter how great things may be going for a campaign, you always have to play the expectations game. The Obama campaign has played the expectations game very well for over a year now.

Just this week their campaign was gloating about an estimated crowd of 75,000 people who turned out to see him in Oregon. The crowds he generates are impressive, but Obama lost the expectations game last night in Des Moines.  However, it's obvious that reporters will be giving him a pass and not talking about how the number of people attending his Iowa events is declining as he moves closer and closer to securing his party's nomination.

Last year when Obama announced his candidacy, he reportedly drew crowds of 6000 people in Ames, Iowa during his announcement tour, and 18,000 people at a December rally with Oprah in Des Moines. So yesterday when the campaign said that 10,000 people were expected, we not only believed them, we expected a much larger crowd than the 7,000 that turned out to see him.

The other problem for Obama is the simple fact that he can’t close the door on the Clinton Campaign. It’s universally accepted that he is or will be the nominee for his party, but he is still losing states to Hillary Clinton while every media outlet continues to write her political obituary.

While the Democrat Presidential Primary is winding down, there seems to be more questions than answers.

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