New Hampshire
Nathan Greene
1 Comment
33% John McCain
John McCain owns New Hampshire. In 2000 he used the state to mount an epic battle against George W. Bush. McCain was successful, but in 2000 Bush was national frontrunner, and rolled over McCain in South Carolina. Much has changed in 8 years, but McCain still owns New Hampshire. This time however there is not a national frontrunner, so a McCain victory in NH makes him the guy to beat. USS McCain sets sail tonight folks, at the waters look calm.
31% Mitt Romney
How does the saying go, always a bridesmaid, never the bride. Romney has had impressive numbers in Iowa and will probably put up a good number tonight. The problem is he needs a victory and I don’t think he’s going to get one. Instead the Romney campaign is going to be put on life support and head to Michigan tonight where it will most likely be read it’s Last Rights in a few days.
15% Mike Huckabee
There is a bounce out of Iowa and this time it will propel Huckabee to a 3rd place finish, which they should be ecstatic about. It will be interesting to see what the Huckabee campaign does after New Hampshire, do they head south immediately to battle Fred Thompson in South Carolina, and let McCain take on Romney in Michigan? Or do they also head to Michigan and let Thompson roam free in South Carolina? I know what I’d do, head to South Carolina and own it.
10% Ron Paul
While his supporters want a win, I’ve been impressed with the Paul campaign. They continue to kill the once national frontrunner Rudy Giuliani.
7% Rudy Giuliani
The surprising thing here it that Rudy doubled his percentage from Iowa. I’m sure they will be talking about momentum, but it’s still a long way to Florida, which is looking more like a Huckabee vs. McCain battle.
4% Fred Thomson
He will actually be happy with 4% if he gets it. I really think the Thompson campaign didn’t expect to still be alive, they have to bank on South Carolina, but it’s going to be difficult to be anything more than a footnote.
0% Duncan Hunter
Duncan Hunter currently has more delegates than Rudy Giuliani and Ron Paul…
Reader Comments (1)
Delightful analysis.
Quickly becoming one of the best blogs in Iowa.