New Hampshire v. 2.0
Emily Geiger
1 Comment
I was afraid my friend Nathan was not going to post his promised predictions before the polls closed, and I would, once again, be left the be the resident prognosticator on this site. Lucky for us, Nathan came through, but I figure I might as well throw my 2 cents in as well. I know this site is mostly about Iowa, but who can resist throwing out some wild guesses as to what may happen in New Hampshire.
First, I should say that I really have no personal knowledge of what’s going on in the Granite State. Unlike my Iowa predictions (which were pretty darn good… and thanks to Don over at Cyclone Conservative for noticing), my New Hampshire prediction is based more on media reports and my gut. Both have been known to be unreliable at times (according to the media, wasn’t Rombot supposed to pull out Iowa?) My gut, on the other hand, usually only fails me in the area of acid reflux, so here goes:
McCain 32%
Romney 28%
Huckabee 16%
Giuliani 11%
Paul 10%
Thompson 3%
Maybe Hunter squeaks out a point, but, at this point, what does it really matter?
FYI… I’m putting Huck slightly higher than most of the polls because of the reports of his huge crowds in recent days, and of course, I’m just not confident that pollsters are reaching Huck’s base. Plus, as a loyal Iowan, I have to account for at least a minimal Iowa bounce. Well, there you have it. We’ll have to see how it all shakes out tonight. I, for one, will be eagerly watching!
Reader Comments (1)
Thanks so much for your thoughts.
Great blog, great post.
Keep it up!